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An independentist majority?

Opinió | 24/03/2010

Over 50% support the independence of Catalonia

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A striking 50.3% of the census (including immigrants) would vote in favour of independence for Catalonia in a referendum, according to a study carried out by UOC and entrusted to CETC.

For the first time, a study indicates an absolute majority in favour of independence for Catalonia. This can be gathered from the Diagnosis of Catalonia – Spain Perceptions, carried out by the Open University of Catalonia (UOC) and which has been handed over to the Centre d’Estudis de Temes Contemporanis (CETC). Previous studies already announced constant growth in pro-independence opinion, but this is the first time it has gone above 50% of the universe surveyed.

In answer to the question “in a democratic referendum to decide on independence for Catalonia, what would you vote?” 50.3% said that they would vote in favour, 17.8% against, 24.6% would abstain and 7.2% did not know or reply. The territorial distribution is also very significant, as the votes against would not exceed the votes for in any of the Catalan vegueries or regions, or in any of the groups ordered by place of birth, although the votes for would be lower among those born in Spain (32%), and higher among those born in Catalonia (57.1%) and those born outside Europe (53.3%).

The votes against would be lowest in the territories of Girona and the central region (8.8% and 9.1%, respectively) and, as regards groups by origin, they would be lowest among the non-European immigrants (11.8%), followed at a certain distance by the people born in Catalonia (almost 15%). Abstention would be highest in Barcelona metropolitan area, and among those born in Spain (31.1%) or outside Europe (30.7%).

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